Saturday, January 27, 2018

Thoughts on the 2018 Baseball Hall of Fame Election


Jim Thome, crushing a dinger for the Twins in 2010.


Vladimir Guerrero smoking a line drive with the Montreal Expos.
On Wednesday, it was announced that the BBWWA elected four new members of the Baseball Hall of Fame: Chipper Jones, Jim Thome, Vladimir Guerrero, and Trevor Hoffman. Jones and Thome were elected on their first ballot, while Guerrero and Hoffman made it in on their second try.
All four of the players selected were excellent selections. Jones was one of the best hitting third basemen ever, and one of the best switch-hitters of all time. Thome was one of the most feared sluggers of his era, slamming 612 home runs in a career untainted by any connection to PEDs. As a Twins fan, Thome was the player I hated to see come to bat when he was with the Indians. You knew that every single at bat he was a threat to homer. I always liked Thome, so I was glad when he went to the Phillies, because then I could cheer for him. And then he went to the White Sox, and beat the Twins in a one game playoff in 2008. But then he came to the Twins in 2010, and all was right with the world. It was pretty great watching Thome tear it up during that season, which was also the first year at Target Field. My Dad works as an usher for the University of Minnesota, and he took Jim Thome and Michael Cuddyer’s tickets when they attended a U2 concert at TCF Bank Stadium in 2011. My Dad recognized Thome, talked to him a bit, and somehow touched Jim Thome’s bicep. I wish I could have seen that interaction. 

Guerrero was a dynamic player-at the beginning a true five-tool athlete, with a cannon for an arm. Hoffman was the all-time saves leader late in his career, and his 601 are second all-time. In a position that seems to chew up players quickly, Hoffman was one of the most consistent closers of the 1990’s and 2000’s. 

Among players remaining on the ballot, Edgar Martinez moved up to 70.4% of the vote. Next year will be his last year on the ballot, and with the usual bump in the voting that provides, it seems pretty likely he’ll be elected. Martinez is one of those players that I just don’t have strong feelings about one way or the other. If he gets in next year, that’s fine, but I wouldn’t be outraged if he wasn’t in the Hall of Fame. I appreciate how good he was as a player, but I’m just not passionate about advocating for him.

In his 5th year on the ballot, Mike Mussina moved up to 63.4%, so he’ll probably be elected in 2019 or 2020. I’m very glad to see Mussina moving up so much, as I think he deserves to be elected. 

Barry Bonds and Roger Clemens continue to be right next to each other in the voting. They both moved up a couple of percentage points, but Bonds’ vote total stayed the same at 238, and Clemens only gained 3 votes, moving from 239 to 242. With four more years left on the ballot, it will be very interesting to see if these two players, such symbols of the steroid era, are elected or not. 

In the “he was such a great player, but SUCH a jerk category,” Curt Schilling went back over 50% of the vote, after dropping to 45% last year. 

Omar Vizquel made a very strong debut on the ballot with 37%, which could bode well for him on future ballots. Vizquel’s a really interesting player. He was a defensive whiz at shortstop, but not much of a threat with the bat, with an OPS+ of just 82 for his career. However, Vizquel did collect 2,877 hits, putting him very close to the magic 3,000 mark. 

Larry Walker got the most support he’s ever received this year, moving up to 34.1%. Walker is basically the Canadian Edgar Martinez for me. I can appreciate that he was really good, but I just don’t feel strongly about him.

Fred McGriff continues to languish in the low 20% region, meaning it’s pretty unlikely he will gain the more than 50% he needs to be elected next year, which will be his last year on the ballot. As I’ve written before, I really like Fred McGriff. He was one of the most consistent players of the 1990’s, and he just seems like a really nice guy. I mean, his nickname was “Crime Dog.” Just that alone should get him into Cooperstown!

Jeff Kent continues to languish near the bottom of the ballot, despite being one of the best-hitting second basemen of his day. I wonder what voters don’t like about him? He never got great press coverage, but that can’t be the only reason why his vote totals are so low. 

Andruw Jones debuted with 7.3% of the vote, so he at least gets to come back again next year. Jones is a fascinating player who seemed to be well on his way to Cooperstown before his career suddenly imploded, seemingly overnight. Jones definitely has the peak one would expect for a Hall of Famer, but he didn’t even play long enough to get 2,000 hits, ending up with 1,933. 

One of my favorite players, Jamie Moyer, sadly did not get enough votes to remain on the ballot. Moyer only got 10 votes, or 2.4%, short of the 5% needed to remain on the ballot. I always enjoyed following Moyer’s improbable career, as he kept fooling hitters with slow pitches well into his 40’s. Oh well, Moyer’s awesomeness will live on, just not with a plaque in Cooperstown.

Johan Santana also got 2.4% of the vote. As a Twins fan, Santana was one of my favorites during our run of great baseball during the 2000’s. Santana had several great seasons, and while I know he’s not really good enough to be in the Hall of Fame, he was pretty fantastic. I vividly remember watching his 17 strikeout game on TV in 2007. I really thought he was going to pitch a perfect game. It’s one of the most dominant pitching performances I’ve seen. 

Johnny Damon got just 1.9% of the vote, despite having some really great career numbers. Damon collected 2,769 hits, scored 1,668 runs, hit 235 home runs, and stole 408 bases. I don’t know if Damon’s really a Hall of Famer, but I think he deserved to stay on the ballot. I think Damon is one of those players who just doesn’t pass the “smell test” for most people. Sure, Damon was a really good player, but he doesn’t FEEL like a Hall of Famer. 

Carlos Lee got just one vote, but I’ve always liked him, even though he played for the hated White Sox. I remember going to a game at the Metrodome in 2003 or 2004, and someone had a sign in the outfield that said, “Carlos Lee isn’t very good.” The sign itself was really funny, as though it was proof that Minnesotans are too polite to trash talk. Lee laughed at the sign, which made me appreciate his sense of humor.

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